NCAA Tournament March Madness

#297 Mt St Mary's

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Mt St Mary's profile lacks a marquee victory and is burdened by ugly road setbacks at major-conference opponents such as West Virginia, Cincinnati, Maryland and Ohio State, so the clearest path to the NCAA field runs through winning the conference tournament. The resume does contain encouraging road wins at St Francis PA, Loyola Maryland, Canisius and Niagara and solid league victories over Iona and St Peter's that prove the team can win away from home, but those positives are offset by damaging losses at Quinnipiac and Merrimack and a handful of underwhelming results that a committee will view skeptically. The remaining schedule includes winnable opportunities to build momentum but does not offer a single eye-catching scalp to force an at-large case, which is why the projection treats the automatic bid as the realistic route to the big dance.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@West Virginia58L70-54
11/7Bucknell327L73-62
11/11@St Francis PA353W74-66
11/16@Cincinnati56L72-55
11/19@Maryland122L95-90
11/23@W Michigan266L83-60
11/25@Ohio St40L113-60
11/29Howard272W79-75
12/3Sacred Heart286L87-80
12/5@Marist162L64-56
12/13@Loyola MD322W81-73
12/19@Drexel212L75-67
12/29Iona231W66-59
1/2@Merrimack208L75-65
1/4@Quinnipiac181L80-69
1/9St Peter's238W70-65
1/11Siena173L67-50
1/17@Canisius343W78-68
1/19@Niagara350W68-58
1/22Quinnipiac181L77-62
1/24Rider355W71-61
1/30@St Peter's23827%
2/1Manhattan33371%
2/5Merrimack20842%
2/7@Iona23125%
2/13@Rider35562%
2/20Niagara35079%
2/22Canisius34376%
2/27@Sacred Heart28637%
3/1@Fairfield26833%